Tuesday, February 20, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #5: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - HWSNBN 
 SUMSQ:63  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.524  
 STP:5.2 (4) 
 TAE:29.9 (1) 
 AAE:1.30 (1) 
     
 2nd - NWS ER WFOs   
 SUMSQ:73  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.062  
 STP:5.8 (5) 
 TAE:30.4 (2) 
 AAE:1.32 (2) 
     
 3rd - donsutherland1   
 SUMSQ:84  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.630  
 STP:8.6 (8) 
 TAE:33.0 (6) 
 AAE:1.43 (6) 
     
 HM - Brad Yehl   
 SUMSQ:86  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.538  
 STP:30.8 (12) 
 TAE:32.9 (5) 
 AAE:1.43 (5) 
     

SUMSQ:  sum of square errors (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank


Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast


Snowfall analysis courtesy National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center
http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html

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