CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 21-FEB-19 @ 8:35 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #4 here
- Forecaster Storm Stats ... as of Snow Storm #5 here

- Snow Storm #5: 17-FEB-18
FINAL Results here

- Snow Storm #4: 07-FEB-18
FINAL Results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Friday, March 24, 2017

Winter '16 / '17 - Interim Standings: 2

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least THREE forecasts are included in the interim standings.


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Complete interim statistics table and charts at the Contest/s web site here.
Forecaster verification statistics for Winter '16 / '17 contest storms here.

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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings.

Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before computing the final grade.

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