Winter '14 / '15 - 14th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results

Don Sutherland FTW!

 

The 'season-total' snowfall forecast contest/s error statistic is total absolute error.

For each forecast station ... the absolute value of (Forecast - Observed) is calculated ... then summed.

 

Forecasts with lower 'total absolute forecast' errors have more skill than those with higher 'total absolute forecast' errors.

 

P-O-R-N is the 'Period Of Record Normal' or climatology.

Skillful season-total forecasts beat climatology.

 

---

Lowest Station Errors

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/04/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall_10.html

 

Forecaster STP Summary

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/04/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall_31.html

 

Snowfall Totals (DJFM)

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/04/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall_42.html

 

DEC Totals

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/02/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall.html

 

JAN Totals

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/02/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall_17.html

 

FEB Totals

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/03/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall.html

 

MAR Totals

http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2015/04/winter-14-15-season-total-snowfall_8.html

 

---

Everyone's forecast has been verified and posted to the Contest/s web site here.

Hope to see y'all back again next winter.