Thursday, February 7, 2008

Coastal Teaser - #2

Precious few flakes for folks south of northern New England the past several weeks. Mid-FEB is prime-time for many stations across the forecast area...so if not now...then when?

Hard to get too excited @ this point. None of the LR / MR models have performed very well this winter. All the best storms are just ten days away! Even so...it/s hard to ignore today/s D+6 prog from the ECMWF. Coastal cyclogenesis INVOF Hatteras and a buckling PAC jet.

One consistent antecedent element forecast by the LR models has been a strong arctic anticyclone flooding the eastern CONUS early next week...putting an end to the abominable warmth that has plagued the much of the area since the last week of JAN.

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